} While there is no formal definition
of Capital Account Convertibility, the committee under the chairmanship of S.S.
Tarapore has recommended a pragmatic working definition of CAC. Accordingly CAC
refers to the freedom to convert local financial assets into foreign financial
assets and vice – a – versa at market determined rates of exchange. It is
associated with changes of ownership in foreign / domestic financial assets and
liabilities and embodies the creation and liquidation of claims on, or by, the
rest of the world. CAC is coexistent with restrictions other than on external
payments. It also does not preclude the imposition of monetary / fiscal
measures relating to foreign exchange transactions, which are of prudential
nature. Following are the prerequisites for CAC:
} Maintenance of domestic economic
stability.
} Adequate foreign exchange
reserves.
} Restrictions on inessential
imports as long as the foreign exchange position is not very comfortable.
} Comfortable current account
position.
} An appropriate industrial policy
and a conducive investment climate.
} An outward oriented development
strategy and sufficient incentives for export growth.
•
RBI
has issued Authorised Dealers (AD) licences to banks, all India financial
institutions and a few co-operative banks to undertake foreign exchange
transactions in India
•
It
has also issued Money Changer licences to a large number of established firms,
companies, hotels, shops, etc.
•
Money
changers help facilitate encashment of foreign currencies of foreign tourists
•
Entities
authorised to buy and sell foreign currency notes, coins and travellers’
cheques are called full fledged money changers
•
Those
authorised only to buy are called restricted money changers
•
FEDAI
(Foreign Exchange Dealers’ Association of India) is a non-profit making body
formed in 1958 with the approval of RBI
•
Its
members are authorised dealers and it prescribes guidelines and rules of the
game for market operations, merchant rates, quotations, delivery dates,
holidays, interest on defaults, etc.
FEDAI also advises RBI on market related issues
and supplements RBI on strengthening the market
Exposure
refers to foreign currency assets, liabilities, income and expenditure whose
values will change in terms of home currency in response to exchange rate
fluctuations.
Risk
is the likely or probable loss from such forex exposure due to adverse exchange
rate fluctuations.
Foreign
Exchange Exposures can be defined as the “sensitivity of changes in the real
domestic currency value of assets and liabilities or operating incomes to
unanticipated changes in exchange rates”. Any company exporting or importing
goods has a foreign exchange exposure. However, a company doing business in the
domestic marketplace will also have a considerable foreign exchange exposure if
any of its competitors are based in a foreign country.
Types
of Exposures: -Foreign exchange exposures can be classified into transaction,
translation, and operating exposures.
• Transaction Exposure involves
different transactions where items are traded in foreign currency, i.e., there
are contractual future cash flows of the foreign currency. For example, a
company may sign a contract to supply machine parts to a foreign company at a
specified sell price. The company will be susceptible to fluctuations in
foreign exchange markets till it receives payment and converts it into domestic
currency. The company’s exposures can be calculated by deducting the potential
future inflows from future outflows. There are various methods that can be
employed to minimise transactional exposure risks, namely,
o Forward contracts.
o Price adjustment clauses.
o Currency options
o Borrowing and lending in foreign
currency.
o Invoicing in domestic currency, etc.
• Translation exposure is the
possibility of change in the net worth of the company due to fluctuations in
home valuation of assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currency.
Translation exposure occurs when an MNC’s overseas subsidiary’s earnings are
translated into domestic currency prior to consolidation with the parent
company’s financial statements. This can reflect in the company’s consolidated
profit and loss account. Companies can adopt any of the following strategies to
manage their translation exposure,
o Adjusting the flow of funds
o Entering into forward contracts
o Netting
of exposures.
•
Transaction
exposure is the sensitivity of realized domestic currency values of the firm’s
contractual cash flows denominated in foreign currencies to unexpected changes
in exchange rates. Unlike economic exposure, transaction exposure is
well-defined and short-term. Some typical situations, which give
rise to transactions exposure, are: (a) A
currency has to be converted in order to make or receive payment for goods and
services; (b) A currency has to
be converted to repay a loan or make an interest payment; or (c) A currency has to be converted to make a
dividend payment, royalty payment, etc.
Note that in each case, the foreign value of the item is fixed; the
uncertainty pertains to the home currency value. The important points to be
noted are (1) transaction exposures usually have short time horizons and (2)
operating cash flows are affected.
•
This is a measure of the sensitivity of
the home currency value of the assets and liabilities, which are denominated,
in the foreign currency, to unanticipated changes in the exchange rates, when
the assets or liabilities are liquidated. The foreign currency values of these
items are contractually fixed, i.e.; do not vary with exchange rate. It is also
known as contractual exposure.
•
Some typical situations, which give
rise to transactions exposure, are:
•
(a) A
currency has to be converted in order to make or receive payment for goods and
services;
•
(b) A
currency has to be converted to repay a loan or make an interest payment; or
•
(c) A
currency has to be converted to make a dividend payment, royalty payment, etc.
Transaction
exposure
• Contract specific
• Cash flow loss can be easily
computed
• Co’s do have policies to cope
up with it
• Duration is same as time period
of contract
Economic
exposure
• General relates to entire
investment.
• V difficult to compute
opportunity losses.
• Do not have any policies to
cope up.
• Relatively longer duration
1)
Transaction
risk : When Bank quote their rates to customers the transaction risk gets
transferred from customer to bank. This is because the bank normally cover
mechant transaction through an opposite transactions in the interbank market.
The idea is to ensure that the anticipated Profit in each transaction is locked
through the cover transaction. Any adverse rate movement between quoting to the
customer and covering the transaction is accepted as normal business risk. Bank
do not hedge transaction risk.
2)
Sometimes
the bank dealer may deliberately leave a transaction uncovered in anticipation
of a favorable rate movement, effectively a normal business transaction get
converted in to a speculation transaction popularly known as “taking a
position”. If the position is created through an uncovered purchase its known
as over-bought or long position, where as if position created through sale
transaction known as oversold or short position. The maximum accumulation
dealer can make in terms of such uncovered transactions is called “Day light
Limit”. It indicates the level up to which the bank is willing to accept the
exposure on behalf of dealer. If the dealer is wrong in his views the bank
stipulate a stop-loss limit at which a compulsory covering of transaction to be
initiated. The stop-loss signifies the loss in terms of domestic currency which
the bank is willing to accept on inaccurate decision.In case if the dealer is
correct in his views he takes profits in stages and achieve a near square
position at the end of trading day. The Gross outstanding in all currencies at
the end of the day are controlled through an “overnight limit”. The activity of
freezing the possible loss on speculations through stop-loss are well-known as
position risk.
3)
Credit
risk: Bank continuously contract each other for forward maturities in each such
case both counterparties are exposed to counterpart risk. That is the
counterparty not fulfilling contractual obligation if such an event occur any
day prior to settlement the other party would enter in to replacement contract
to square these exposure. If this replacement contract is at the adverse rate
compare to original contract rate the bank suffers a replacement contract also
described as pre settlement risk.
4)
On
settlement day if there is a counterparty failure after the bank has fulfilled
its obligation than the principle amount would be lost in addition to which the
bank may have to bear a replacement cost-plus minimum one day interest
effectively the problem less on settlement today is more than 100% of contract
value termed as settlement risk. These risk became a matter of risk
management example Herstelle case of
1978. In india bank control exposure to foreign counterparties through a global
limit which monitor the exposure to counterparty at universal level.With in
this global limit the concentration of the contract on a particular future date
are monitored to prevent excessive settlement risk.
5)
Mismatched
maturity risk: Bank continuously quote forward rate to their customers each
such forward contract is required to covered for expected forward maturity. In
active market its difficult to find counterparties for broker delivery
maturities , the forward exchange rate represents two components : Spot rate
and forward margin. Since exchange rates are more volatile than interest rates
banks normally cover the transaction for nearest available maturity. This
enables the bank to eliminate exchange risk but results in :
a)
Liquidity mismatch between inflow and outflow
b)
Under and over recovery of forward margin.
To
simultaneously adjust both effect these bank required to undertake Swap
transaction. A delay in getting the necessary swap may result in a loss on
forward margin due to a shift in interest rates . Such losses are described as
mismatch maturity risk
Hedging
In international
parlance, hedging means a transaction undertaken specifically to offset some
exposure arising out of the firm’s usual operations.
In the stock market
parlance, hedging is the process of buying one security and selling another in
order to produce a riskless security. Hedging involves two investments that are
perfectly correlated. For example if the returns of X and Y are perfectly
correlated, then to hedge, you have to buy X and sell Y or vice versa to make
the net position riskless. Hedging is a mechanism to reduce price risk
inherent in open positions.
INTERNAL
HEDGING STRATEGIES /TECHNIQUES
• a) Natural hedge
• b) Invoicing in own currency
• C) Split currency invoicing
• D) Netting
• D) Leading and lagging
• e) Price adjustments
• f) Risk sharing agreements
• g) Review of market – product
combination
EXTERNAL
HEDGING STRATEGIES /TECHNIQUES
• a) Currency forward contracts
• b) Currency future contracts
• c) Currency options
• e) Money market hedge
Currency invoicing: A firm may be able to shift the entire exchange risk to the
other party by invoicing its exports in its home currency and insisting that
its imports too be invoiced in its home currency.
Netting and
Offsetting: A firm with
receivables and payables in different currencies can net out its exposure in
each currency by matching its receivables with payables. For example, a firm
with exports to and imports from France need not cover each transaction
separately, it can use a receivable to settle all or part of a payable and take
a hedge only for the net Francs payable or receivable.
Sometimes, a currency
might have a receivable in one currency say, DM and a payable not in the same
currency but a closely related currency such as Swiss francs; the exposure
arising from the same can be offset. To explain further, for example, a loss on
a payable due to an appreciation of the Swiss Franc vis-à-vis the firm’s home
currency will be closely matched by the gain on the receivable due to the
appreciation of DM.
Leading and Lagging: This is another way of managing exposures by shifting the timing
of the exposures by leading and lagging payables and receivables. The rule of
thumb is lead i.e. advance payables and lag i.e. postpone receivables in strong
currencies and conversely in weak currencies.
Lead and lags in
combination with netting form an important cash management strategy for
multinationals with extensive intra-company payments.
The
term 'Derivatives' indicates it derives its value from some underlying i.e. it
has no independent value. Underlying can be securities, stock market index,
commodities, bullion, currency or anything else. From Currency Derivatives
market point of view, underlying would be the Currency Exchange rate, in the
Indian context it is USD/INR. Derivatives are unique product, which helps in
hedging the portfolio against the future risk. At the same time, derivatives
are used constructively for arbitrage and speculation too. Currency Derivatives
are very efficient risk management instruments and you can derive the below
benefits:
(i) Hedging: You can protect your foreign
exchange exposure in business and hedge potential losses by taking appropriate
positions in the same. For e.g. If you are an importer, and have USD payments
to make at a future date, you can hedge your foreign exchange exposure by
buying USD/INR and fixing your pay out rate today. You would hedge if you were
of the view that USD/INR was going to depreciate. Similarly it would give
hedging opportunities to Exporters to hedge their future receivables, Borrowers
to hedge foreign currency loans for interest and principal payments, Resident
Indians, who can hedge their offshore investments.
(ii) Speculation: You can speculate on the
short term movement of the markets by using Currency Futures. For e.g. If you
expect oil prices to rise and impact India's import bill, you would buy USD/INR
in expectation that the INR would depreciate. Alternatively if you believed
that strong exports from the IT sector, combined with strong FII flows will
translate to INR appreciation you would sell USD/INR.
(iii) Arbitrage: You can make profits by
taking advantage of the exchange rates of the currency in different markets and
different exchanges.
(iv)Leverage: You can trade in the currency
derivatives by just paying a fixed % value called the margin amount instead of the
full traded value. Currently the margin amount charged is 4-5%.
The
NDF markets have generally evolved for currencies with foreign exchange
convertibility restrictions, particularly in the emerging Asian economies,
viz., Taiwan, Korea, Indonesia, India, China, Philippines, etc., With controls
imposed by local financial regulators and consequently the non-existence of a
natural forward market for non-domestic players, private companies and
investors investing in these economies look for alternative avenues to hedge
their exposure to such currencies. NDF market is an offshore market to trade
and hedge in currencies of countries wherein there is no full convertibility
(both capital account and Current Account). Few of the NDF market traded
currencies are Indian Rupee, Chinese Yuan, Philippine Peso, Taiwan Dollar, and
Korean Won. NDFs are distinct from deliverable forwards as the NDF s trade
outside the countries of the corresponding currencies. NDF is a Non-Deliverable
Forward contract which is settled in cash and only in US Dollars. The
difference between the Spot rate and the outright NDF rate is arrived on an
agreed notional amount and settled between the two counterparties. Trading in
the NDF market generally takes place in offshore centres.
In
this market, no exchange takes place of the two currencies’ principal sums; the
only cash flow is the movement of the difference between the NDF rate and the
prevailing spot market rate and this amount is settled on the settlement date
in a convertible currency, generally in US dollars, in an offshore financial
centre. The other currency, usually an emerging market currency with capital
controls, is non-deliverable. In this particular respect, of course, NDFs are
similar to commodities futures market where commodities, like wheat or corn,
are traded in organized futures markets and positions are later settled in
dollars, wheat or corn being nondeliverable. The NDF prices are generally
determined by the perceived probability of changes in foreign exchange regime,
speculative positioning, conditions in local onshore interest rate markets, the
relationship between the offshore and onshore currency forward markets and
central bank policies.
NDFs
are primarily over-the-counter, rather than exchangetraded products, thus
making it difficult to gauge the volume of
contracts traded, who trades the contracts, and where they are traded.
At the international level, New York tends to dominate trading in Latin
American NDFs, Singapore (and to a lesser extent Hong Kong) dominate trading in
non- Japan Asian NDFs, while London spans these markets. The INR NDF is largely
concentrated in Singapore and Hong Kong, with small volumes being traded in the
Middle East (Dubai and Bahrain) as well.
Bank
for International Settlements (BIS), a bank created in the 1930s to manage and
monitor the repatriation from the war in Europe would have hardly thought that
it would go on to provide guidelines for the risks that bankers face the world
over. BIS is, today, one of the most formidable institutions in economics and
financial sector. In June 2004, the BIS finalised Basel II, after five years of
industry and regulatory consultation. The objective behind this regulation is
to align regulatory capital measures with the inherent risk profile of a bank
considering credit, market, operational and other risks. Basel I recommendation
was the first among the series of
reforms suggested. The greatest drawback of the Basel I proposal was that it
prescribed a onefits- all solution for all circumstances and focused on single
risk to measure credit and market risk capital adequacy ratio. It does not
cover the main risk element ‘Operational Risk’. BIS defines operational risk
as, “the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes,
people and system or from external events.” In short, operational risk
identifies:
a.
Why loss has happened, and
b.
A breakdown of the causes into: Ø People Ø Process Ø System, and Ø External
events
Even
though India has one of the strongest
banking systems compared to many peer group countries, our credit,
market and operational risk measurement and management system is lagging behind
the banks of many developed countries. Basel II implementation will certainly
improve the working efficiency and competitiveness of Indian banks. Basel II
provides a more comprehensive and
flexible
approach for measuring and managing risk. It adds a new dimension called
operational risk and encourages the bank’s internal risk management
methodologies.
The
key difference of the new accord is the introduction of operational risk. This
is not a new practice. However, the growing number of operational loss events
worldwide has forced the management of the banks to look into this aspect more
critically to prevent any frauds, reduce errors by implementing controls as a
part of operating process. Evolving banking practices suggest that the risk
other than credit and market risks can be substantial. The importance of
operational risk has increased due to the following changes in operation and
introduction of sophisticated methods and technology.
a.
Highly automated technology, if uncontrolled can cause system failure. The loss
may be much more as compared to manual system.
b.
Emergence of E-banking and E-commerce has potential for internal, external
fraud and system securities issues. This needs sound internal controls and back
up systems.
c.
Large-scale acquisitions, mergers and consolidations test the viability of
integrated
Basel
committee has identified the following types of operational risks:
•
People
Risk – connected with placement, competency, work environment and motivation
•
Process
Risk – connected with errors in processing, complexity of process,
documentation and contract, violation of controls, money laundering, frauds,
model and methodology errors
•
Regulatory
risk – connected with failing to comply with laws
•
Technology
risk – connected with system and technology failure
•
Event
Risk – unanticipated changes in external environment.
•
Reputation
Risk
Steps
for Implementing Risk Management Broadly the following steps are followed to
implement the risk management system.
Ø
Study the existing process organisationwide and identify the risk that matters.
Ø
Classify the risk according to criticality
Ø
Set up systems and controls for monitoring and reporting to management
The
European Central Bank (ECB) is the institution of the European Union (EU) that
administers the monetary policy of the 17 EU Eurozone member states. It is thus
one of the world's most important central banks. The bank was established by
the Treaty of Amsterdam in 1998, and is headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany.
The current President of the ECB is Mario Draghi, former governor of the Bank
of Italy. The European Central Bank (ECB) is the
principal institution in the European Union whose purpose is to manage monetary
policy for all the member states of the Eurozone. In simple terms, it is the
Central Bank responsible for the management of the Euro. As such it is one of
the most significant central banks in the world and any decision made
concerning the Euro can ripple through to all the worlds currency markets. It
was created in1998 and is headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany.
The
primary objective of the European Central Bank is to maintain price stability
within the Eurozone, which is the same as keeping inflation low. The Governing
Council defined price stability as inflation (Harmonised Index of Consumer
Prices) of around 2%. Unlike, for example, the United States Federal Reserve Bank,
the ECB has only one primary objective with other objectives subordinate to it.
Three
bodies function under the ECB:
·
The
Governing Council: is made up of six members of the Executive Board of the ECB
and the governors of each of the national banks of the countries in the
Eurozone. Its primary role is providing directions for the ECB and it has the
final word regarding policy implementations.
·
The
Executive Board: is in charge of setting up policies and is made up of the
President and the Vice-President of the ECB and four other member of the
Governing Council. All the members are appointed for a non-renewable 8-year
term through a common concession by the Heads of State of the Eurozone
countries.
·
The
General Council: consists of the President and Vice-President of the ECB and
all the governors of the member state’s central banks. Its main role is to act
as a forum for all the member states of the European Union (EU) to air their
financial concerns. It is a temporary body, which will be dissolved once all the
EU countries adopts the principals of the European Monetary Union (EMU) and
officially joins the ESCB.
General
Functions of the ECB: the ECB is the matriarch of all the banks which are part
of the ESCB. Thus, its roles are geared towards regulating most of the major
financial obligations of the National Central Banks under its wing.
·
Issuance
of bank notes and coins: the authorization regarding the issuing of bank notes
lies solely with the ECB. The member states can issue coins however; the ECB
has the final say on the amount.
·
Account
opening: any credit institution, public bodies and other financial market
participants have to get authorization to open an account with the ECB and the
national central banks exclusively from the ECB.
·
International
relations: only the ECB will engage in negotiations and transactions with
central banks and credit institutions of third party countries as well as other
international organizations.
·
Open
market operations:when the ECB or the national central banks have to deal in the
financial markets tasks such as borrowing and lending money will lie with the
ECB.
·
Other
functions of the ECB include:
-
Transacting
in credit operations with credit institutions and other interested parties;
-
Maintaining
price stability within the Eurozone
-
Constructing
rules for the efficient clearing of payment systems
-
Setting
the requirements on credit organizations founded in Member States to hold
minimum reserves in accounts with the ECB or the national central banks of the
state in question.