A
nation’s choice as to which currency regime to follow reflects national
priorities about all factors of the economy, including inflation, unemployment,
interest rate levels, trade balances, and economic growth. The choice between
fixed and flexible rates may change over time as priorities change. At the risk
of over-generalizing, the following points partly explain why countries pursue
certain exchange rate regimes. They are based on the premise that, other things
being equal, countries would prefer fixed exchanges rates.
·
Fixed
rates provide stability in international prices for the conduct of trade.
Stable prices aid in the growth of international trade lessens risks for all
businesses.
·
Fixed
exchange rates are inherently anti-inflationary, requiring the country to
follow restrictive monetary and fiscal policies. This restrictiveness, however,
can often be a burden to a country wishing to pursue policies that alleviate
continuing internal economic problems, such as high unemployment or slow
economic growth.
·
Fixed
exchange rate regimes necessitate that central banks maintain large quantities
of international reserves (hard currencies and gold) for use in the occasional
defense of the fixed rate. An international currency markets have grown rapidly
in size and volume, increasing reserve holdings has become a significant burden
to many nations.
·
Fixed
rates, once in place, can be maintained at rates that are inconsistent with
economic fundamentals. As the structure of a nation’s economy changes and its
trade relationships and balances evolve, the exchange rate itself should
change. Flexible exchange rates allow this to happen gradually and efficiently,
but fixed rates must be changed administratively- usually too late, too highly
publicized, and too large a one-time cost to the nation’s economic health.
The
advantages of the flexible exchange rate system include: (I) automatic
achievement of balance of payments equilibrium and (ii) maintenance of national
policy autonomy.
If
exchange rates are fluctuating randomly, that may discourage international
trade and encourage market segmentation. This, in turn, may lead to suboptimal
allocation of resources.
Economic agents can hedge exchange risk by means
of forward contracts and other techniques. They don’t have to bear it if they
choose not to. In addition, under a fixed exchange rate regime, governments
often restrict international trade in order to maintain the exchange rate. This
is a self-defeating measure.
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